What High Gas Prices, Inflation And A Falling Dollar Mean For Your Online Business

OK, now THAT’s a weird title for a post on a blog like this. ;)

But, all kidding aside, I have a point to make today. An important point – especially given the times we find ourselves in. My aim is to help people as much as possible, and I figure I’d be doing a disservice if I didn’t talk about this a bit.

Usually, our little blogging and social media bubble doesn’t talk much about the “real world”. That stuff is relegated to the news headlines and the political talking head shows. And, those of us concentrating on our online businesses don’t like to pay attention to that crap. We’d rather talk about the stuff we’re interested in. I know I would.

But, there’s big things happening right now. And the “real world” will affect our online world. And it will have an impact on us as bloggers, too.

If you look around right now, we see a lot of things. High gas prices. Rising food prices. An economy in recession. On the surface, it is easy to get political about this, blame one of the political parties or a particular president (I don’t care which one), and think this is all just par for the course. Just more stuff that you think won’t impact you very much.

But, I think what’s going on right now is going to impact all of us. The government is racking up debt faster than ever and printing money like crazy. That is a recipe for sky-high inflation, which is what is causing much of our problems with high gas prices, higher food prices, etc. What many don’t understand is that once the dollar reaches a tipping point that causes other countries to start abandoning the dollar, it will trigger a large rush away from the dollar and ultimately cause the dollar to hyper-inflate.

To cut through the economic jargon, this means your dollar won’t buy much. And things will be difficult to buy.

A lot of smart people right now are seeing this coming and adjusting. Many are buying metals like gold and silver because these limited resources have an innate value and, historically, has been the basis for currency. Many are working extra hard to get out of debt themselves. Many are also looking to commodities and things which people need all the time.

Which brings me back to our world of online business and blogging. I have two main points to make that I think people should at least think about.

#1 – Pay Attention To New Niches

One of the things about business is that you need to help people and fulfill a demand. Doesn’t matter whether you’re online or offline, it is all about helping people with what they need or want.

A changing economy and shrinking currency is going to change the mindsets of a lot of people out there. There is likely going to be a shift to real-world value, but they’re going to turn to the Internet to find it. Things that matter will be food, real estate, ways to increase your income, wealth preservation, saving money, etc. Many of these are hot markets already, but they’ll be even hotter as these areas hop into the front burner of the national collective mindset.

You can see it happening already, BTW. If you go out there and look, you’ll already see online marketers selling info products on wealth preservation, “investment secrets”, etc. Unfortunately, many of them are capitalizing on fear, but it is a natural occurance because they’re reacting to changes in market demand. I’ve seen people selling seeds so they can grow “crisis gardens”. I’ve seen sites talking about handguns, food storage, etc.

I’m not here to judge any of that or the validity of it… I’m simply pointing out that these people ARE reacting to changes in demand in the market.

My gut tells me that potential markets of interest would include things like:

  1. Making money (obviously, nothing new here)
  2. Keeping money (i.e. wealth preservation and saving money, maximizing buying power)
  3. Food & Gardening.
  4. Security, guns.
  5. Home schooling.
  6. Real estate.
  7. Do-it-yourself.

Simply put – there IS opportunity here for bloggers and (obviously) competent marketers to help people and make money in the process.

Just keep in mind that people are really focusing on value, and people will always spend money on things they need.

Is the niche you’re in going to be relevant? Do people need it? Does it have a real-world impact in improving their lives?

#2 – Pay Attention To Your Online Assets

Here, I’m talking more to those of you with established online businesses. For everybody else, think about how this translates to your own personal assets.

I encourage you to simply look at your assets in a strategic fashion. And by this, I mean preserving value and safeguarding against loss. We all make whatever money we make online in the form of currency. That currency has no real value outside of what we commonly agree the value is. Therefore, if the agreement changes, so does the value of the money we make. At the same time, many of us have never really thought about weathering our businesses from a storm from the outside. For example, what if a web service you use ends up closing shop? Does that put you at risk?

So, a few common sense recommendations might be:

  1. Make sure you keep backups of your site(s) so that it could be moved/restored on another server if necessary.
  2. If you put any data on the cloud, ensure you have it backed up, too. This includes your email list (if using a third-party service like Aweber), documents in Google Docs, your email, videos on Amazon S3 or Youtube, etc.
  3. When you use an outside company for a service, consider their size and staying power. Small shops might be more subjected to economic winds than larger companies with more inertia.
  4. Consider diversifying your business assets so not everything is stored in cash. Cash is subject to inflation, so if your business value is measured by cash in the bank, your entire business is losing value because of inflation.
  5. Put a lid on waste. Spending money is always a necessity, but don’t waste it. Consider the real ROI of where you decide to spend money on your business. Also, keep in mind that modern technology has provided us many free/cheap ways to do things that used to cost a lot.

This is common sense stuff that we should always be doing, really.

Some Parting Thoughts

I don’t know what the future holds, but I’m pretty sure it is going to look different than today. Change is the only thing guaranteed in life, as they say. :)

The best way to deal with things is with eyes wide open, a positive outlook, and a “get it done” attitude. Putting your head in the sand is practically a guarantee to be caught off guard.

While I could get quite animated with you right now about how bad the politicians in Washington have screwed this up, it ultimately does little good. I also don’t think ignoring it is a proper course of action. Many people out there are unaware of what’s going on – and those are the people who will be most caught off guard. Others are fear-mongering and getting people worked into a frenzy, and this isn’t helpful either.

Human beings are consistent in many things. Certain demands will always be there. People will always be buying things.

Also, I think the Internet is going to remain a STRONG force in the world economy regardless of adjustments going on. People will be going online to find what they want – without a doubt. I mean, just look at the huge valuations in dot-com’s going on in Silicon Valley right now despite the current recession. It even has some talking about a new “bubble” going on there now. Whatever the case is with that, it goes to show that the Internet is and will remain an AWESOME platform for business.

So, we’re in the right business, my friends. And, if you’re still trying to get that online business of your own going, there is no better time than the present (just don’t waste much time).

Provide value that others need… and be in the business of manufacturing happiness in whatever you do.

In all economies – even the worse of them – there are winners and losers. Which do you intend to be?

 

Free eBook!

Like what you read?

If so, please join over 12,000 people who receive exclusive online business and blogging tips, and get a FREE COPY of my eBook, Six Figure Blogger Blueprint (PDF and MP3)! Just enter your name and email below:

  • http://www.tonyteegarden.com Tony Teegarden

    So well put David.

    If this doesn’t provide a sense of urgency I’m not sure what will.

    I agree that we will “feel” it here in the states but for the first time (ever?) we as solopreuers will have the opportunity to do business outside of the U.S. during a recession digitally. I realize the Dollar still isn’t going to go as far but it does make me wonder what impact “globally” expanding my business will have during the coming times.

    I’m, like you, just focusing on how I can flourish and prosper right now. Create products of real value that people want and sell it to them :)

    Outstanding article for a “how to blog” site ;-) lol

    Seriously kick ass message.

  • http://website-in-a-weekend.net/ Dave Doolin

    My JV partner and I are going deep into DIY websites for small businesses. She has a brick and mortar store front, with conference room space. We did our first workshop last month. This goes past WordPress and blogging. We look at what people actually need for a website. If that means something like Posterous, we can help.

    I’m also actively working on my DIY blog maintenance membership site. I’ll be bringing some questions on this into your Inner Circle, David.

  • Anonymous

    With this article you offered me got a chance to know about this, anyway i say Great Article! and waiting for you next article about this interesting subject.

  • http://twitter.com/g_ro Greg Rollett

    Great stuff David. I’ve While I have yet to think of how I can help people in this niche, I myself have been adapting to change. Small things like eating habits and finding locally grown products, investing in silver and gold and doing my best to stay away from oil/gas, etc.

    It amazes me that people don’t see the change coming and the devaluation of the dollar. I’ve talked about it and the fact that many people won’t know it’s full effect till ramen noodles double in price and milk becomes a luxury. Either way, I think it’s good to at least start thinking about the situation and taking “some” precautions.

    There are some great resources out there for people looking to take their business international, learn more about our economy and how to finance your very own lifestyle if it does hit the fan.

    Anyway, good for you to bring this to attention and I’m looking forward to seeing other businesses provide resources as we move on.

  • http://twitter.com/g_ro Greg Rollett

    Great stuff David. I’ve While I have yet to think of how I can help people in this niche, I myself have been adapting to change. Small things like eating habits and finding locally grown products, investing in silver and gold and doing my best to stay away from oil/gas, etc.

    It amazes me that people don’t see the change coming and the devaluation of the dollar. I’ve talked about it and the fact that many people won’t know it’s full effect till ramen noodles double in price and milk becomes a luxury. Either way, I think it’s good to at least start thinking about the situation and taking “some” precautions.

    There are some great resources out there for people looking to take their business international, learn more about our economy and how to finance your very own lifestyle if it does hit the fan.

    Anyway, good for you to bring this to attention and I’m looking forward to seeing other businesses provide resources as we move on.

  • http://superbadinternetmarketing.com SuperbadIM

    Not only are those all good suggestions but the nature of the internet itself is bringing changes.

    Just look at the music industry, the publishing industry, the way movies are being distributed. There are some great opportunities to help people online and in the real world if you keep your eyes open and look for them.

  • http://lyndsysimon.com Lyndsy Simon

    I’ve been in the guns/shooting sports niche for as long as I’ve been online, and there is definitely room for some more competition out there.

    That said, one thing to be aware – it is difficult to monetize this type of traffic. Adsense essentially doesn’t allow gun sites on their network. Yes, there are exceptions, but overall, anything that sells or promotes guns is verboten — along with anything that links to a site that sells or promotes guns. I’ve got Adsense on some informational sites, but there is a fine line to walk there to stay within the TOC.

    Another thing to think about is payment processing – if you’ve selling a product, chances are that you’ll be banned from PayPal if you try to use it. PayPal/eBay have a well-known political stances against firearms, and will suspend your account for selling most anything related.

    All that said, it really is a rewarding niche. The laws are complicated and people have a sense of urgency in many cases when they’re researching the topic – 1/3 of the sales process is done for you at that point.

    If anyone knows of a good affiliate program for guns, let me know. I’ve not been able to find one in a couple of years of looking, and I’m thinking about starting my own.

  • http://sometimesithink-krissy.blogspot.com krissy knox

    David, this is an excellent post with a timely message. I admire you for seeing it like it is, and being willing to tell us like it is. This way we’ll still be able to make it in business, and prepare ourselves in other ways. Thanks for your considerate help. BTW, I love your ideas for niches. Thanks for sharing your insights with us. :)

  • http://ferodynamics.com/expert-wordpress-programmer/ PJ Brunet

    If the dollar loses value, that helps US-based business selling online. Our products/services/ads are more attractive because they cost less.

    Some people think the Euro will collapse and that might support the dollar temporarily.

  • http://www.tellusfuture.com Fredrikwallinder

    Living in Sweden where the currency gets stronger by the day it’s the opposite effect, since we work a lot with US customers we get less when we sell and convert. Anyhow, David has a point as regards real assets. Keeping money in the bank is asking for trouble since it’s under control by the FED and the banksters. That’s why the rich get richer, they’ve never have any cash but invest in assets that give dividends. Why Warren Buffet lives in an old house? He invested instead.

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    I don’t really see that. If the dollar loses values, people will increase prices in order to get the same exchange. Any business which kept their prices static with inflation would simply die off.

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    Thanks, Krissy. :-)

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    Interesting info. And yeah, I bet the laws on that are a nightmare. Laws and, of course, knee-jerk emotional reactions based on politics.

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    Yeah, most people are too busy watching Idol to pay any attention. And, too many people get their “news” from the likes of Jon Stewart. Sad, really.

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    Cool. :-)

    Yeah, there is HUGE opportunity in helping business come online who have no idea how to do any of this stuff we take for granted.

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    Thanks, dude. Yeah, the Internet is going to be a real cornerstone as it allows anybody to think globally.

  • Guest

    The thing is, Jon Stewart is the only ‘news’ program that calls ‘bullshit’ on politicians and tells it like it is. All the other ‘news’ channels are so partisan that you can’t trust a thing they’re saying.

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    I don’t disagree. At the same time, though, he’s a comedian and entertainer, not a real news man. Not only that, but he has a political slant of his own. So, while I like Jon Stewart, I wouldn’t use him as my only source of news by any means. Any more than I would Jay Leno.

  • http://www.earlyretirementinvestments.com Early Retirement Investments

    Saving and growing money are my concern now. I need to learn how I can effectively grow my savings in a long-term investments that can ultimately bring me to financial independence.

  • http://www.capitalistexploits.com/ Chris

    An interesting post David. Its interesting to me since I’m an investor and all of these issues you mention are now becoming more mainstream even many of us have known about them for decades now. I do think you are correct in this space however I also believe that we are likely to have a bubble in people offering all sorts of bad advice in this arena. Its happened before in the real estate bubble, in the Tech bubble and the next bubble will be in hard assets. My belief is that we are very close to a mania in this asset class.

    Thanks for the posts though.

  • Daniel

    Great post David,
    As the swedish guy pointed out above, I think in Europe the perspective on the economic crisis is quite the opposite. Many european countries, like Spain, are struggling because of an strong Euro, that is cutting our exports. In the 80′s-90′s we could devaluate the national currency to overcome the situation, but this is no longer possible. Add up the effects of the real state bubble burst, and a 20% unemployment rate, high inflation, etc, and you get the poisonous mix we are swallowing now… Not to mention low salaries and fuel costs (7-8$ /gallon).
    This said, I agree that there are opportunities everywhere and blogging is no exception… I just hope there is not a second ‘.com’ bubble !

  • http://www.routertablereviews.org Mark

    I was trained as an economist. My professors drilled in us that economic change is inevitable. You can always benefit from that change if you’re prepared and simply take the time to forecast likely options. And the most important thing, of course, take action…

    David, that’s what I like about your post. You’re suggesting the same thing. Too many times we are not proactive enough.

    As “micropreneurs” the macro-economy is not important. Our decisions and action make all the difference.

    Thanks
    Mark

  • http://40somethingmommy.com 40somethingmommy

    It may help us to sell things, but it also makes things more expensive for us to buy. As our dollar looses its value, so goes our purchasing power. Basic commodity goods are all going up in price, and in exchange our currency has less and less value. I think we are in inflationary times, and selling more widgets oversees might be great, but I am more concerned about the costs of goods and services I need to pay for. I think the cost of goods and services will outweigh what I can bring in.

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    Yeah, there’s definitely some truth to that.

  • http://meandeangreen.com/post/4637641733/2-suatanlee-seo-yarismasi-sac-ekimi-teknoloji-merkezleri Spor Aletleri

    David, Are you millioner

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    No.

  • http://davidrisley.com David Risley

    Well, its just a gut feeling… I haven’t researched it.

    More and more parents are concerned about the declining quality of the public school system. And, when you throw severe budget problems into the mix, the schools could get even worse. So, I think community-based and/or home-based schooling might become more common.

    Again, its just a gut feeling. :-)

  • http://LivingMontessoriNow.com Deb Chitwood

    I think your gut feeling is correct. The population of homeschoolers is definitely growing, and research shows that homeschooling works.

  • http://www.digitalundivide.com donfelipe

    A big potential market is becoming a politician to go to Washington to make big changes. One big change to be made is to take the oil commodity off the stock market. We should force every country to set their own independent oil price. Free market supply and demand would bring the price of gas dramatically down.

  • http://www.brosix.com/ Brosix

     Never thought about translating economic events into niche sites. Great thought.