How I Lost My Life Savings And What It Taught Me About Blogging

This is a guest post from Roman, from How This Website Makes Money.

Ten years ago was the height of the stock market boom. Stocks prices went only up. All you had to do was throw money towards Wall Street and a few months later you’re a millionaire. People were getting rich overnight. 14 year old kids turned their allowance money into piles of thousand dollar bills. Easy money.

So I opened an account at an online discount stock broker – 10 minutes. Did research and found a company with financial charts that had all the lines pointing upwards – 20 minutes. After a few clicks of the mouse my life savings arrived somewhere at the New York Stock Exchange. In 30 minutes, I handed over money that took 13 years to accumulate.

stand_outI went to bed expecting to wake up with a phone call from my bank congratulating me on becoming their best client. Instead I woke up having less money than the day I popped out and got a smack from the doctor. At least on that day I had a new towel.

Ten years ago I lost a lot of money. A lot of money. For a whole year after my financial crises I was forced to live like Mahatma Gandhi. Biting into my stale bread and adjusting my garb, I made a vow that I would never let that happen again.

What Went Wrong? Why Did I Lose All My Money?

What I failed to realize that fateful day was that the stock market is a zero-sum game, which means that there is a limited pool of money. Money does not get created in the stock market. It just moves around. More specifically, it moves from stupid (politically correct: unlucky) people to smart people.

I had no idea what I was doing, so my stupid money went to someone smarter then me. When I was buying, a smarter person was selling to me, and then when I was selling, someone smarter was buying from me.

When you are playing a zero-sum game, you need to be the smart person so that you can take the money from the stupid people.

The Blogosphere is a Zero-Sum Game

The blogosphere is also a zero-sum game. But instead of there being a fixed amount of money, there is a fixed amount of visitors moving from one website to another. Each day they will spend their limited time on one website instead of another.

The idea is to get the visitors to spend their limited time on your site instead of someone else’s. Every minute they spend on someone else’s website is a minute that they will not spend on yours.

The question is: Do you have what it takes to convince visitors to spend their time on your site instead of someone else’s?

A Zero-Sum Game With Cats And Why You Will Lose

To demonstrate a zero-sum game, and why you will lose if you play, lets imagine a competition involving cats and people.

There is a auditorium full of wandering cats and randomly scattered booths in which human players stand. The goal of the game is to try to persuade the cats to come to your booth. After one hour, the player with the most cats in their booth wins.

You want to win the game, so what do you do before the competition? You research everything you can about cats. You read books, you go on the internet, you borrow your neighbor’s cat and practice cat calls. For weeks you rub your fingers together and make psst, psst, psst noises.

The day of the competition arrives and you get into your booth. The bells rings and you begin doing your whistling, finger rubbing and toy mouse dangling.

A few cats wander to your booth, but unfortunately you do not win.

The problem is that you did nothing special. All the information that you gathered about cat calling is publicly available information. The books you read, the websites you visited, and access to a real cat are all things that your competition has access to also.

Your knowledge does not differentiate you from everybody else. If everybody has the same information about cat calling then there can be no clear winner. To the cats, the players are all doing the same thing. There is no reason for the cats to move towards you instead of somebody else. At the end of the hour everybody will have roughly the same amount of cats in their booths.

The only way to win a zero-sum game is to be different. To possess information that nobody else has.

For example, by doing your own tests with cats and discovering something that is not written about and publicly known, you will win the game. Everybody will be doing the same thing, but you will be different. The other players will have an equal distribution of cats. You will have more.

Zero-Sum Games And How It Applies To Bloggers

To make money in the stock market you need to have an advantage over the other players. You need to know something that everybody else does not know, or you need to have a tool that nobody else has. That is the only way to move the money from somebody else to you.

Same thing with the blogosphere. It is not enough to just participate. It is not enough to just have a blog. It is a battle and the winner gets the visitors’ time. The loser gets nothing. You need to be smarter than the next guy. You need an advantage over all the other blogs out there so that you can convince the visitor to spend their time on your blog. Without an advantage you will lose all your visitors to the smarter guy.

The mistake I made when I first started my blog was the same mistake I made with the stock market. I thought all I needed to do was to buy stocks and I would make money. With blogging I saw that people where making lots of money and I thought all I had to do was make a blog and I would make lots of money.

In both cases I was wrong. What I failed to realize was that for everybody that makes money, there is somebody that loses money. For every blog that gains a thousand new visitors, these are thousands of visitors that will be lost by some other blogs.

I quit the stock market because I realized that I had no advantage over the other players. I had access to the same information that everybody else had. I simply knew what everybody else knew. In a zero-sum game you cannot win being like everybody else.

For a blogger, playing a zero-sum game, the situation is exactly the same. Without an advantage over other bloggers there is no way you are going to succeed.

The most important question a blogger can ask themselves is: what is my advantage? How I am different than everybody else? How do I become the blogger who takes the visitors from everybody else who are all doing the same thing? How do I become the guy who is selling his stocks at the height of the internet bubble when everybody else was buying?

If all you do is read the literature everybody reads and use the tools everybody uses then you cannot make money in the stock market, win the cat game, or have a successful blog.

This is a guest post from Roman. He is a new webmaster with a blog and website describing in detail what is involved in creating, maintaining and profiting from a site. Charts and statistics are used to reveal How This Website Makes Money.

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  • http://erica.biz ericabiz

    I disagree with everything in this post!

    First of all, it’s completely not true that website visitors are a zero-sum game. I can prove this with statistics:
    http://www.internetworldstats.com/emarketing.htm

    The % of the population that uses the Internet goes up every year. So that means, every year, there are *millions* of new people using the Internet.

    Not only that, people who are using the Internet are using it more often. Again with the stats:
    http://en-us.nielsen.com/main/news/news_releases/2009/september/nielsen_reports_17

    “September 23, 2009 – The Nielsen Company today reported that time spent on social network and blogging sites accounted for 17 percent of all time spent on the Internet in August 2009, nearly triple the percentage of time spent on the sector a year ago.”

    Huh! Really! Look, actual stats that disprove your main thesis.

    Time to go back to the drawing board on this one.

    -Erica

  • http://armchairdesigns.com/ Bradley

    Ok… so that was discouraging.

  • Steve

    “there is a fixed amount of visitors moving from one website to another”

    Sorry, but this is just not true and cannot be compared to a true zero sum gain.

  • http://www.rezdwanhamid.com/ Rezdwan Hamid

    Hello Roman, thank you for this guest post. I love the way you compare the analogy of stock market and that “cat competition” with blogging. It got me thinking of how I can be different in this blogging game. If not, how to at least be better than what most blogs are dishing out.

  • ricardosilva

    Hi to all of you. This is my first time writing a comment in this site.

    It is not, however, the first time I am in this site. I have been reading to David posts for a couple of months now – i even attended his webinar – I was the one who asked about the eventual support to non-English blogs (and asked for a lesson in making a cool webinar by the way ;)

    Well, I've drifted a bit now. Anyway, I relate a little with Roman, I've started my own website with a friend of mine. It's in Portuguese, it's a humor site, so it's not really related in any sense with Roman site.

    However it's about 9 months old (just like his) and his story made me go and have a look at his site. Let me say I was very impressed by it. I spend likely an hour reading through his posts where he shares his dreams (and frustrations) month by month.

    Some of them were my own, since it is also my first website (and I'm not a programmer or web designer – I'm actually a male nurse). My only experience I had with producing content in the Internet was basically some hubs I produced to hubpages.

    My story started as yours Roman… a lot of dreams, a lot of hours spent pursuing it.

    However:

    1. I started with a mate, so we helped each other out (and didn't tire as much);
    2. The demographics, topic – almost everything of my site is quite different from the MMO world – but, as in MMO, Humor has very hard competition (and it's way harder to monetize);
    3. We worked a lot – but work is paying of in our case – At the 6 (dreaded) month mark we were getting like 300 unique visits a month. Then we did a little marketing move that helped pulling our charts up. Currently we are getting over 1000 visits a day and have more than 4000 subscribers.
    4. Oh we never get sandboxed. Don't ask me why :) After 3 months we had PR1, after 6 PR2. Let's see if the 9th month brings surprises (hope good ones, but with Google you never know).

    So, what did the trick? A lot of things. But you're getting closer to the mark on what you write in your 9 month assertion.

    WHAT COUNTS IS THE VISITORS. Give them something they want. Be unique yes, just as you write here. But don't do only that. Grab on to them.

    Here's some tips for you (take them for what they're worth, I'm a just a nurse with a jokes site):

    - Get people to subscribe to your site. Not just that little Email Feed Button you have; Get a real box, and give them something of value related to your field!

    - Use that free offer as the beginning of a funnel process to other things (profitable sales, for instance);

    And you know what? You have already the perfect thing. That money starter kit you are selling at your site. Use it! Use it to your advantage. You are missing a big opportunity there. You are selling 5 books in a bundle….

    Take my advice: Sell only 4. The first one you offer to people that subscribe.

    Do the changes necessary – even in the ebook itself so people that read it understand that it is part of a collection. Provide the details where to get it inside the book, as well as in your website (this one you'll want people to share with friends – it's free promotion to your site and products!).

    It may seem surreal but you'll probably make more sales by offering part of your product. Not to mention the increase in subscribers – and consequent traffic. Less is more in this case!

    I've learn this with David Risley. Thanks Dave!

    This is when the real money will start pouring in – as I will hopefully see in the charts you daily update in your site.

    At least it worked with me ^_^'

    Phfeww, I think I will end this comment. It's so big it could almost be a guest post by itself… Feel free to turn it into one if you want David – I sure wouldn't mind ;)

  • http://twitter.com/bruneiandollar Bruneian Dollar

    I think David Risley already covered this point but wasn't too specific. Basically, in David's past articles, was to create your own product or service so different, original and unique, that others don't have. Do that, and you can win in the Blogosphere. And yes, it is true that you cannot win a zero-sum game unless you are different than everybody else. Actually I just had this exact same thought last night while I was viewing these “Get Instant Traffic” programmes in my spam mail (Yes, I do spam mail for laughs). I find them hard to believe as I always try to put myself into the visitors' shoes for once. Would thousands of visitors come to my blog because I have this “Instant Traffic” programme? Not really.

    So yeah, Roman made a good point. Be aware bloggers! It's a battle and a survival of the fittest! All Your Readers Belong To Me! LOL! :D

  • http://janebradbury.com/ Jane Bradbury

    It might be the same idea that David, and others, have talked about, but this post was still a worthwhile read. I don't want to write 'Great post!' because somehow it feels wrong to enjoy the story of you losing your money Roman, but thank you for the reminder about being different.

  • http://twitter.com/ingresos2 Ingresos Al Cuadrado

    I've enjoyed the read.
    Real stuff, some might feel disapointing, but it sounds well to me.

    David as Blogging in english starts to be more and more competitive, anyone is thinking about franchising (or similar) into other languages? I'am based in Spain, blogging in spanish, and the blogging market has nothing to see with the 2010 english speaking blogging market

  • http://www.warriormama.com/ Lisa

    Great motivational post. I love checking this site to get a fresh perspective and drive to “be the best”.

    Thanks again!
    :0)
    Lisa
    http://www.warriormama.com

  • http://evengrounds.com/blog Julius

    I think we can look at our own personality and interests and use them to make ourselves and our blogs unique. Certainly there's a particular quality or interest we have that most other people don't. We can take these things, and apply them in our content.

  • http://twitter.com/BruneianDollar Bruneian Dollar

    That's true at some point. But think about the targeted visitors/users. Sure, there may be an increase of users as Internet and Technology rapidly develops over time, but have you considered the factor of the rising competition as well?

    So still, this could be around a zero-sum game with more complications and factors to consider. The changes of the population, the changes in the target market, the changes in the niche` market, the trends, the changes of the competition level, etc.

    Basically, its the further research in consumer behavior that is so complex, its a hard way to win.

  • http://jennifervalerie.com Fruitfulvine2

    Interesting point. You got me thinking and that's always good in my book. Thanks.

  • http://jennifervalerie.com Fruitfulvine2

    Interesting point. You got me thinking and that's always good in my book. Thanks.